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The relationship between inflation and economic growth: Evidence from Turkey

Başlık çevirisi mevcut değil.

  1. Tez No: 402507
  2. Yazar: HAMZA ÖZÇİFTÇİ
  3. Danışmanlar: PROF. JAMES DAVIDSON
  4. Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
  5. Konular: Ekonometri, Ekonomi, Econometrics, Economics
  6. Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
  7. Yıl: 2015
  8. Dil: İngilizce
  9. Üniversite: University of Exeter
  10. Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
  11. Ana Bilim Dalı: Ekonomi Ana Bilim Dalı
  12. Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
  13. Sayfa Sayısı: 51

Özet

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Özet (Çeviri)

Despite significant research and debate, academics and researchers have failed to agree upon a conclusive definition for inflation in an economic context. Similarly, the relationship between economic growth and inflation is also well documented but inconclusive. Numerous studies point to both positive and negative relations between these two economic variables, with some strains of research investigating the existence of threshold values of inflation at which the relationship may switch from positive to negative, or vice versa. In this study, we examine the relationship between inflation and economic growth in Turkey between 1988 and 2014. During part of this period, the Turkish economy suffered extreme hyperinflation and so understanding the link between these two variables is key for policy makers to enable them to enact the correct decisions to ensure stability and growth of the Turkish economy. Specifically, we use Pearson correlation and OLS methods to understand the linkages between inflation and economic growth, finding that a negative correlation of 0.21 exists, supported by results of OLS estimations, that a 1% increase in CPI causes a 2.2% decrease in GDP. Results of Granger causality analysis however, are insignificant, indicating there to be no causal relationship between inflation and growth levels for the dataset analysed.

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