Causal relation between external debt and economic growth:Evidence from Turkey
Başlık çevirisi mevcut değil.
- Tez No: 723993
- Danışmanlar: PROF. EMERİTUS DATUK, DR. MOHAMED ARİFF BİN ABDUL KAREEM
- Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
- Konular: Din, Maliye, Religion, Finance
- Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
- Yıl: 2018
- Dil: İngilizce
- Üniversite: INCEIF (International Centre for Education in Islamic Finance)
- Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
- Ana Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Sayfa Sayısı: 95
Özet
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Özet (Çeviri)
There is a growing concern over the tremendous increase in external debt stock of Turkey. In the light of global financial crises, the sustainability of external debt and allocation of external debt to productive investments have become all the more important. Many researches have been done to examine external debt stock and economic growth relationship However, External debt stock has not been broken down into external private debt and external government debt, which might give unreliable and misleading results since the dynamics of power and causality direction of external private debt (EPD) and external government debt (EGD) could be different. The objective of this paper is to make a humble attempt to analyze“the external debt led economic growth”hypothesis by breaking down the composition of external debt into External Private Debt and External Government Debt, particularly for Turkey over the period 1999:Q1-2016:Q3. For our analysis, time series techniques such as, co-integration, long-run structural modeling, vector error correction, variance decompositions, impulse response functions, and persistence profile are adopted. Our findings of empirical analysis suggest that, there is a significant Granger causality from External Private Debt to Gross Domestic Products. These findings are useful and have policy implications for developing countries like Turkey.
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