Three essays on international trade
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- Tez No: 766316
- Danışmanlar: PROF. DR. PETER H. EGGER
- Tez Türü: Doktora
- Konular: Ekonomi, Uluslararası Ticaret, Economics, International Trade
- Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
- Yıl: 2022
- Dil: İngilizce
- Üniversite: Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETH)
- Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
- Ana Bilim Dalı: Uluslararası Ekonomi Politikası Ana Bilim Dalı
- Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Sayfa Sayısı: 119
Özet
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Özet (Çeviri)
This dissertation is a collection of three papers studying the effects of international trade on total welfare and labor markets. Collectively, these papers present three different assessments of trade policy from both theoretical and empirical points of view. The first paper focuses on welfare effects of trade policy, while the remaining two are concerned with labor market effects of international trade. The paper in Chapter 2 quantifies trade effects of changes in trade costs exploiting a multi-country, multi-sector framework. In this paper, I use a panel of 32 OECD countries and 20 manufacturing sectors covering the years from 1996 to 2009 to estimate sectoral trade elasticities in the short run and the long run separately, and find a large degree of variation across sectors, with the estimates ranging from 1.4% to 15.5% in the short run and 6.2% to 25% in the long run. Leather products turned out to be the sector with the largest difference between short-term and long-term elasticities, whereas Office equipments sector displayed the smallest gap between these elasticities. Then, I conduct two counterfactual experiments in the short run and the long run, using the corresponding sectoral trade elasticities to see how consumer welfare would have been affected under two different scenarios. Under the first scenario, tariffs remain unchanged at their 1996 level, whereas the second scenario considers, the effects of a 10% reduction in trade costs worldwide. I find that an average country would suffer an almost 7% loss in real income in the short run and 3.8% loss in the long run, had the tariffs remained at their (higher) 1996 level. On the other hand, an average country would enjoy a 3.6% improvement in real income in the case of a 10% homogeneous reduction in trade costs in the short run and 3.8% improvement in real income in the long run. My results indicate that if the tariff levels remained at 1996 levels, Eastern European countries would have suffered the largest losses both in the short run and in the long run. In the case of a 10% reduction in all trade costs, on the other hand, all countries would have been better off except for Mexico in the short run, and there would be no losers in the long run. The second paper in Chapter 3, co-authored with Peter Egger and Benedikt Rydzek-Zoller, studies the direct and indirect general equilibrium effects of export exposure and import competition on labor markets. There we consider the impact of export and import competition on local labormarket outcomes in an emerging economy, namely Turkey. We find that notable adjustments to changes in exports mainly happen at the extensive, per-capita-employment margin, and to a much smaller extent at the intensive margins such as hours worked. These changes are mainly driven by direct export exposure of regions (direct effect). We only find very limited and small labor-market effects through import competition. In an emerging economy such as Turkey, import-competing channel seems less effective and most of the labor-market effects are driven by increased export exposure. Shifting the focus to the firm side, the third paper in the last chapter, again co-authored with Peter Egger and Benedikt Rydzek-Zoller, explores how the global market entry status affects wage premia, when firms are classified into three categories: domestic exporters, non-exporting multinational enterprises, and exporting multinational enterprises (MNEs). Using French firm-level panel data for the years from 2006 to 2012 and a multivariate endogenous treatment model relying on the approach of Wooldridge (1995), we find that both domestic exporters and exporting MNEs pay, on average, higher wages than non-exporting firms, whereas non-exporting MNEs tend to pay lower wages than non-exporting domestic firms
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