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Political survival and diversionary use of force

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  1. Tez No: 400468
  2. Yazar: İMRAN DEMİR
  3. Danışmanlar: DR. A. COOPER DRURY
  4. Tez Türü: Doktora
  5. Konular: Siyasal Bilimler, Political Science
  6. Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
  7. Yıl: 2009
  8. Dil: İngilizce
  9. Üniversite: University of Missouri
  10. Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
  11. Ana Bilim Dalı: Siyaset Bilimi Ana Bilim Dalı
  12. Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
  13. Sayfa Sayısı: 165

Özet

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Özet (Çeviri)

This research attempts to improve our knowledge on the study of the use of force for diversionary purposes by addressing three issues that have been left unaddressed. No study has taken into account the relevance of issues as potentially important determinant of diversionary behavior under different regime types. In this study, I seek to develop a more complete perspective on the diversionary behavior of leaders executing under different institutional constraints by emphasizing issue salience. I contend that leaders of different regime types will be compelled to use force for diversionary purposes under different domestic political and economic pressures. Empirical results demonstrate that while autocratic leaders divert more regularly under the pressure of domestic unrest, leaders of democratic and mixed regimes are more likely to initiate disputes under deteriorating economic conditions. A second task that is accomplished in this paper is to explore the effects of domestic unrest on conflict behavior of rivals. The existing research examining the diversionary incentive in rivalry settings has primarily restricted its focus to measures of economic discontent. My results provide mixed support for the relation between domestic unrest and the use of force against rivals. Findings demonstrate that while international and strategic rivals are more likely to initiate conflict against their rivals, this relation disappears when international rivals are separated into their enduring and proto components. Finally, this dissertation introduces a new perspective to the study xii of diversion by associating diversionary use of force with corruption. My inquiry into the relation between corruption and diversion reveal that while corruption has a strong negative effect on the external use of force, the effects of corrupt on the external use of force in combination with domestic unrest appear to be positive. I also observe that corruption has a strong positive effect on militarized interstate dispute initiation in enduring rivalry settings. Likewise, prevalence of corruption in democratic regimes increases latitude towards belligerent foreign policies.

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