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The un or NATO involvement in Syria: A comparative study on civil war

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  1. Tez No: 622924
  2. Yazar: ABDULLAH SOYDEMİR
  3. Danışmanlar: PROF. DR. ULVİ KESER
  4. Tez Türü: Doktora
  5. Konular: Siyasal Bilimler, Uluslararası İlişkiler, Political Science, International Relations
  6. Anahtar Kelimeler: Syrian Civil War, Libya Operation, Cyprus Issue, NATO Crisis Management, United Nations Peacekeeping Mission
  7. Yıl: 2019
  8. Dil: İngilizce
  9. Üniversite: Girne Amerikan Üniversitesi
  10. Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
  11. Ana Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
  12. Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
  13. Sayfa Sayısı: 316

Özet

This dissertation has been prepared in the light of a current tragedy in the Middle East: Syrian Civil War. After the recent developments in the region, studying the civil war from all perspectives came to the fore as a crucial requirement. In 2011, the Syrian Crisis, which started in the pursuit of better living conditions and basic democratic rights, has turned into a civil war which has affected the whole world in time. Hundreds of thousands of people have died, wounded or become refugees because of this humanitarian tragedy. In eight years, political and military dynamics have evolved and the civil war, as a primary problem that world politics must solve, has become multidimensional and complex in nature. The state structure of Syria, which consists of different ethnic and religious societies and which is a small model of the Middle East, makes it difficult to find a solution to the civil war. Because of her geostrategic location and political, military and economic importance, Syria has turned to a field of power struggle between global, regional and local actors. The Syrian Civil War has to be concluded as it has the potential to exacerbate current conflicts and trigger more tragic and extensive clashes and even wars in the Middle East. This research tries to make scientific assessments and contributions about the question of“How can we stop the Syrian Civil War?”and“What are the possible ways of building stability in Syria?”. The final assessments and suggestions might be also significant in terms of shedding new lights of hope for probable solutions to humanitarian tragedy which has continued for years. In this context, it serves to a lofty goal, which affirms, above all scientific gains, the importance of study. NATO took an initiative and conducted an operation in Libya for the purpose of ending the civil war. Lessons-learned from this intervention offer valuable implications and projections for possible NATO initiatives in Syria. Similarly, the United Nations has carrying out its peacekeeping mission in the Cyprus Island since 1964. This mission also provides a good example for any type of the UN involvement in Syrian Civil War. There are mainly individual and journalistic style comments about NATO's or the UN's role in the Syrian Civil War. However, never before the civil war has been studied in a scientific perspective and framework, which bring all three cases together and make a comparative study in an academic nature. In this context, the primary purpose of this study is to make scientific analyses, assessments and interpretations about the practicality of political or military involvement of the UN or NATO, as conducted in Libya and being carried out in the Cyprus Island, in order to end the Syrian Civil War. The secondary purposes are to draw conclusions on whether any of these involvements or any possible related scenarios would be reasonable, decisive and coherent with regional realities, current capabilities and international dynamics and make future projections and suggestions with regards to topic. According to analyses and assessments, it has been concluded that any political or military involvements of NATO or the UN in the Syrian Civil War would not end the tragedy, could even worsen the current situation and might trigger wider conflicts in Syria and the Middle East. The UN or NATO involvement will likely sharpen differences among Syrian communities and concretize the de-facto internal fault lines between opposing groups. This signifies continuity of fragmented state structure and territories of Syria, each of which would breed new terrorist and proxy groups. Any variation of new terrorist or proxy groups would certainly mean the continuation of blodshed structural instability. As for other scenarios, a coalition of the US, RF, Turkey and Iran, although it is difficult to establish, seems to the best case scenario for ending the civil war and restoring post-civil war Syria. This scenario covers most of the conditions required to end the civil war, establish an integrated, unified, democratic and peaceful Syria and restore peace, order and stability in post-civil war environment in the Middle East.

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