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A review of shale oil development and its impacton crude oil prices

Başlık çevirisi mevcut değil.

  1. Tez No: 707265
  2. Yazar: MEHMED EMRE KAYA
  3. Danışmanlar: PROF. MİCHAEL TAMVAKİS
  4. Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
  5. Konular: Enerji, Maliye, İşletme, Energy, Finance, Business Administration
  6. Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
  7. Yıl: 2017
  8. Dil: İngilizce
  9. Üniversite: City University London
  10. Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
  11. Ana Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
  12. Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
  13. Sayfa Sayısı: 64

Özet

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Özet (Çeviri)

Shale oil production has gained popularity in the oil industry recently, with US shale oil production substantially increasing since the mid-2000s which plays a central role in US crude oil production. This rise, centred on the US, is seen as a revolution that is expected to cause significant changes in the oil market. However, at less than 5 million barrels per day production capacity, it only represents a small proportion of the world's oil production capacity of 100 million barrels per day, although it is almost 50 percent of US total crude oil production. Therefore, it is not expected that shale oil has substantially affected crude oil prices, considering its 5 percent share of the global crude oil market. The main strength of shale oil is the abundance of its reserves. Its effect also critically depends on the percentage of reserves that are recoverable and the competitiveness of shale oil production costs compared with conventional oil. These points will determine whether shale oil becomes a major player in the oil market or just remains as a supplementary resource. The main purpose of this research is to review the shale oil sector, including contents, reserves, production capacity and technology, while primarily focusing on its effect on the oil market. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag method, the research examines long-term relations between shale oil production and WTI and Brent crude oil prices. This analysis shows that there is a long-term relation between shale oil production and WTI oil prices but not between shale oil production and Brent spot oil prices. This indicates that, so far, US shale oil development has an impact on local oil prices rather than global prices.

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