The impact of interest rate and exchange ratevolatility on banks' stock returns and volatility:evidence from Italy
Başlık çevirisi mevcut değil.
- Tez No: 727168
- Danışmanlar: DR. ROCCO ROBERTO MOSCONI
- Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
- Konular: Maliye, Ekonomi, Endüstri ve Endüstri Mühendisliği, Finance, Economics, Industrial and Industrial Engineering
- Anahtar Kelimeler: Bank stock returns, Exchange rate risk, Market risk, Interest rate risk, Volatility, ARCH, GARCH, OLS
- Yıl: 2018
- Dil: İngilizce
- Üniversite: Polıtecnıco Dı Mılano
- Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
- Ana Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Sayfa Sayısı: Belirtilmemiş.
Özet
Özet yok.
Özet (Çeviri)
Grounding on the paper by Kasman, Vardar and Tunc (2011), the purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of interest rate and exchange rate changes and volatility on FTSE Italia All Share Banks Index and four Italian banks' stocks returns using the OLS and GARCH models. The results present that interest rate changes have a negative and significant impact on the conditional bank stock returns. An increase on interest rate may negatively affect the cost of funding, the net interest margin of the securities portfolio and loan portfolio. In contrast, exchange rate changes have a positive and significant effect on the conditional bank stock returns. An increase in exchange rate (stronger local currency) may affect bank profitability in a positive way if the bank has a short position. Besides the results show that interest rate and exchange rate volatility have a strong positive impact on the conditional bank stock return volatility.
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