The influence of economic policy uncertainty, inflation and ftse100 index performance on exchange rate: Evidence from the UK
Başlık çevirisi mevcut değil.
- Tez No: 795012
- Danışmanlar: Belirtilmemiş.
- Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
- Konular: Ekonomi, Maliye, Economics, Finance
- Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
- Yıl: 2022
- Dil: İngilizce
- Üniversite: Queen Mary University of London
- Enstitü: Yurtdışı Enstitü
- Ana Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Bilim Dalı: Belirtilmemiş.
- Sayfa Sayısı: 54
Özet
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Özet (Çeviri)
The exchange rate plays a significant role in a country's trade with other countries, balance of payments and economic performance, making the determinants of exchange rate attract more and more scrutiny. This study investigates the influence of economic policy uncertainty, inflation and stock market performance on the exchange rate. The methodology consists of an ordinary least squares regression on a time series dataset covering seven years (2015-2021). The empirical results achieved through this study are in line with those of the literature in demonstrating the impact of economic policy uncertainty and inflation on the exchange rate. The findings suggest that one unit increase in CPIH and economic policy uncertainty index result in a decline of about 0.072 and 0.066 units in the effective exchange rate of the pound, respectively. The econometric model also captures a positive relationship between FTSE100 index value and the effective exchange rate, with a unit increase in FTSE100 index value resulting in a rise of 0.16 unit in the effective exchange rate of the pound. With the econometric model offering a satisfactory explanatory power to reveal the impact of these three variables on the level of exchange rate, the findings could be useful for policy makers, authorities and investors in their predictions, decisions or actions concerning the value of their local currency
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