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Türkiye-IMF ilişkileri (1990-2001)

Başlık çevirisi mevcut değil.

  1. Tez No: 144885
  2. Yazar: EBRU ARICIOĞLU
  3. Danışmanlar: PROF.DR. TUBA ONGUN
  4. Tez Türü: Yüksek Lisans
  5. Konular: Ekonomi, Economics
  6. Anahtar Kelimeler: Belirtilmemiş.
  7. Yıl: 2004
  8. Dil: Türkçe
  9. Üniversite: Gazi Üniversitesi
  10. Enstitü: Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü
  11. Ana Bilim Dalı: İktisat Ana Bilim Dalı
  12. Bilim Dalı: Uluslararası İktisat Bilim Dalı
  13. Sayfa Sayısı: 167

Özet

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Özet (Çeviri)

Turkey has implemented stabilization programs, aiming at eliminating ups and downs in financial and real sectors of its economy since many years. Main reasons of inducing Turkey to implement the stabilitization programs are: (i) chronic inflation lasting 25 years; (ii) balance of payments problem; and (iii) serious disruptions in financial and real markets. In this study, first, the therotical models, related to stabilization programs, have been analyzed. In this framework, first chapter comprises the characteristics of orthodox and heterodox stabilization programs. In addition, the main characteristics of programs for controlling foreign exchange rates, wages, monetary stocks, and prices have been articulated in this chapter, and therefore, a few of these characteristics have been elaborated. Second chapter analyzes the crisis in 1994 and the stabilization programs coming after. When the year of 1999 had come, the Turkish economy had inevitably been in need of comprehensive reforms. Therefore, the Letter of Intent of December 9th 1999 can be seen as an initial step for such a need. Third chapter addresses the stabilization program supported by the IMF. By the way, this stabilization program based upon fixed exchange rate policies had not succeeded. From analyzing the results of the program, we can infer that this kind of stabilization programs imposing nominal exhange rate anchor for developing countries such as Turkey cannot be succesfull due to economical and political conditions of these countries. Fourth chapter takes a look at the Program of Transition to a Strong Economy in 2001, following the unsuccesfull experience of the Disinfation Program. The program has aimed at reaching a pre-condition preparing to inflation targeting in Turkey. This chapter also places that some important steps required for inflation targeting have been realized, with this program. The study concludes with following remarks: (i) the evaluation of a stand of the Turkish economy, (ii) why stabilization programs applied during the last ten years did not succed; and (iii) the features of the program of 2001, and preconditions for the program to succeed.

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